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issue:20, 20 Feb 2024

PANDEMONIUM: The Conscription Law and Five Negative Potential Consequences

When a nation collectively chooses the path of securitization and militarization, it inevitably incurs an opportunity cost in the development and productivity of the nation impeding for generations to come.

issue:19, 12 Dec 2023

Conflict, Peace & Security

Operation 1027: The Need for a New Political Imagination and a Pragmatic Strategy

The Institute for Strategy and Policy (Myanmar) has released a series of three analytical reports based on our research findings regarding 'Operation 1027', initiated by the Three Brotherhood Alliance and allied forces. This latest report, ISP OnPoint No.19 published on December 5, focuses on the question of new political imagination and a pragmatic strategy.

issue:18, 14 Nov 2023

China Studies

Operation 1027:China’s Economic Entanglement With Anticipated and Unforeseen Risks

ISP-Myanmar is presenting a series of three OnPoint analyses that will shed light on ‘Operation 1027’, the military offensive launched by the three Brotherhood Alliance (3BHA) and their allies on October 27, 2023. This ISP OnPoint No. 18 analysis, the second in the series, emphasizes the economic significance embedded within the offensive and China’s response to the conflict.

issue:17, 13 Nov 2023

Conflict, Peace & Security

Operation 1027:Will All Roads Lead to Laukkai or Naypyitaw?

ISP-Myanmar is planning to release a series of three OnPoint analyses that will shed light on 'Operation 1027', the military offensive launched by the Three Brotherhood Alliance (3BHA) and their allies on October 27, 2023. The first report will provide an in-depth analysis of the context of the offensive and its 'signaling effects'.

issue:16, 14 Jul 2023

Political Economy

The Reappearance of Aung San Suu Kyi: Her Role and New Play of Political Narrative

Thailand’s Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Don Pramudwinai, recently disclosed that he met with Myanmar’s former leader Aung San Suu Kyi in detention in Naypyitaw on July 9, 2023. The meeting came just two days before the ASEAN Foreign Ministers Meeting in Jakarta and was the first allowed in the two years following the military coup in February 2021.

issue:15, 22 May 2023

Other

Cyclone Mocha and Return of El Niño: A Crisis of Climate-Conflict-Humanitarian Triple Nexus in Myanmar

Cyclone Mocha, one of the strongest storms ever to hit the Bay of Bengal, made landfall near Sittwe on May 14, 2023. It wreaked havoc on nearly 5.4 million people living in Rakhine State and surrounding areas in its path, causing widespread destruction across Sittwe and creating a potential humanitarian crisis for a highly vulnerable population of as many as 3.2 million people, according to a statement from the UNOCHA.

issue:14, 6 May 2023

China Studies

China’s Policy Reset: Will the SAC Follow China-Driven Political Exit?

China’s new Foreign Minister Mr. Qin Gang visited Naypyitaw on May 2, 2023. This marked the first official visit by a high-ranking Chinese official to Myanmar’s capital in the two years since the military coup. In the hours prior to the Naypyitaw trip, Mr. Qin toured the border regions of Yunnan province, which maintains vested interests with Myanmar in various sectors. Prior to Mr. Qin’s trip, Mr. Peng Xiubin, Director-General of the International Liaison Department of the Communist Party of China and other high officials from Yunnan had frequently visited Myanmar.

issue:13, 21 Mar 2023

Other

Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD): The Politics of Integrity and Commitment

The Central Executive Committee meeting of the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD), held on March 16 and 17, 2023, made a momentous decision that it will not re-register as a political party under the new Political Party Registration law of 2023. Explaining its decision, the SNLD cites that the junta authorities have yet to announce a date for the General Election, and that the party finds substantial security challenges to travel to consult with party members (mainly in Kayah and Kachin States).

issue:12, 9 Feb 2023

Conflict, Peace & Security

Two Years After the Coup: Entrenching the Quagmire

Myanmar’s ruling junta, the State Administration Council (SAC), marked the second anniversary of its military coup on February 1 by submitting a six-month extension of its rule to the National Security and Defense Council (NDSC) for approval. The SAC used the pretext of an “atypical situation” in the country to argue that it had not yet been able to accomplish its objectives. The junta has reshuffled several of its ranks-and-files, and declared martial law in 37 townships

issue:11, 29 Jul 2022

Human Rights Violations

Myanmar Crisis: Implications of Death Sentences Inseparable from Transitional Justice

The junta’s practice of executing those under politically motivated death sentences is the latest indication that ASEAN’s push for a ‘return to normalcy’ in Myanmar is over. Although the new trajectory of the country is still vague, it is certain that the ‘old normal’ – of problem definition and resolution within Myanmar politics – can no longer work to solve the current crises.

issue:10, 22 May 2022

Conflict, Peace & Security

The Myanmar Crisis Needs a Sustainable Resolution After U.S.- ASEAN Special Summit

The ASEAN-U.S. Special Summit 2022 took place on May 12-13 in Washington, D.C. Sr. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, chairman of the State Administrative Council (SAC), was not invited to attend. U.S. officials did invite Ms. Zin Mar Aung, foreign minister of the opposition National Unity Government (NUG), who met with U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman and other senior U.S. officials during the summit. Zin Mar Aung also met with her Malaysian counterpart, Foreign Minister Saifuddin Abdullah.

issue:09, 13 May 2022

Conflict, Peace & Security

Shaky Pavilion: The Military Council’s Peace Overture

Sr. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, Chairman of the State Administration Council (SAC), personally invited the heads of Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs) to talk about peace on April 22, 2022. As of May 9, the deadline to respond to the offer, only 10 out of 21 EAOs answered the call to meet.

issue:08, 12 Mar 2022

Conflict, Peace & Security

International Efforts to Solve the Myanmar Crisis: A Possible Playground for Global Superpowers?

On March 10, 2022, Japan’s Special Envoy for Myanmar National Reconciliation, Mr. Yohei Sasakawa met with Ethnic Armed Organization (EAO) leaders in Chiang Mai, Thailand. ASEAN’s Special Envoy to Myanmar, Mr. Prak Sokhonn, plans to visit Nay Pyi Taw in the third week of March. President Joe Biden is set to organize an ASEAN-U.S. Summit in Washington D.C. in the near future.

issue:07, 4 Feb 2022

Conflict, Peace & Security

Three Perspectives to Consider on Myanmar’s Coup Anniversary

The post-coup situation should be evaluated on the basis of these three proposed perspectives. If dissidents prepare a systematic and long-term strategy, rather than pushing haphazard responses that can only achieve short-term results, they could more effectively realize the political goals to which most people in the country aspire. Provoking “revenge” and anger will only jeopardize the prospect for long-term success.

issue:06, 25 Jan 2022

Conflict, Peace & Security

“Humanitarian Plus” Approach and Its Concerns

Three parties, namely the Karen National Union (KNU), the Chin National Front (CNF), and the Karenni National Progressive Party (KNPP), issued a statement on January 20, 2022, supporting the concept of “Humanitarian Plus” proposed by the U.N. Special Envoy on Myanmar and added three more conditions.

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Operation 1027:Will All Roads Lead to Laukkai or Naypyitaw?

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Operation 1027:Will All Roads Lead to Laukkai or Naypyitaw?

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ISP’s OnPoint

PANDEMONIUM: The Conscription Law and Five Negative Potential Consequences

Operation 1027: The Need for a New Political Imagination and a Pragmatic Strategy

Operation 1027:China’s Economic Entanglement With Anticipated and Unforeseen Risks

Operation 1027:Will All Roads Lead to Laukkai or Naypyitaw?

The Reappearance of Aung San Suu Kyi: Her Role and New Play of Political Narrative

Cyclone Mocha and Return of El Niño: A Crisis of Climate-Conflict-Humanitarian Triple Nexus in Myanmar

China’s Policy Reset: Will the SAC Follow China-Driven Political Exit?

Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD): The Politics of Integrity and Commitment

Two Years After the Coup: Entrenching the Quagmire

Myanmar Crisis: Implications of Death Sentences Inseparable from Transitional Justice

The Myanmar Crisis Needs a Sustainable Resolution After U.S.- ASEAN Special Summit

Shaky Pavilion: The Military Council’s Peace Overture

International Efforts to Solve the Myanmar Crisis: A Possible Playground for Global Superpowers?

Three Perspectives to Consider on Myanmar’s Coup Anniversary

“Humanitarian Plus” Approach and Its Concerns

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